Over 55% of the
malls in Delhi-NCR region are vacant partly due to economic slowdown, poor
designing, lack of robust revenue generation model and located in unattracted
location, reveals the Associated Chamber of Commerce and Industry of India
(ASSOCHAM) recent survey.
As per ASSOCHAM
estimates, the total rate of vacancy in malls in Delhi-NCR is 55%, while in
Mumbai it is 52% followed by Ahmedabad (51%), Chennai (50%), Hyderabad (48%),
Bangalore (45%) etc. The position in the nearby town of these locations is much
disturbing.
ASSOCHAM conducted
a random survey of all the shopping malls in Delhi-NCR, Mumbai, Kolkata,
Bangalore, Hyderabad, Ahmedabad, Pune, Dehradun, Chennai etc between October
and December 2012. The survey found that many upcoming malls have significantly
been delayed and withdrawn due to lukewarm response from retailers. They will
also face manifold hike in construction cost.
Commenting on the
malls scenario, ASSOHAM Secretary General D S Rawat said that vacancy levels
are due to poor location, poor design and poor parking facilities while some
are operating at 60% occupancy others are struggling at less than 20%
occupancy. The occupiers are finding difficult to manage economically.
The survey also
highlighted some of the challenges the industry is facing, which include
inadequate infrastructure, unavailability of retail space, multiple taxes, lack
of clarity in policies and shortage of experts in areas such as supply chain
and store management. Now, they are shifting from lease/rentals models to
revenue sharing models and this is encouraging large number of branding
showrooms to open shops in malls.
“Biggest shopping
mall can feel like a pretty lonely place, majority of retailers said that they
are holding back on new store openings and focusing on existing stores,” adds
the survey.
The sharpest
decline in mall rental values are also recorded high in Delhi-NCR by 60%, while
Mumbai also dropped by 58% in rentals followed by Ahmedabad (55%), Chennai
(54%), Hyderabad (52%), Bangalore (49%), Kolkata (45%), Pune (42%) and Dehradun
(40%), points the ASSOCHAM survey.
Nearly 82% of the
retailers said that they are shutting down some of stores in areas where
rentals are too high, and with the slowdown in consumption complicating things
further, point out the survey.
Nationally, the
vacant rates of shopping malls are 55% and will likely rise to 70% by 2015, according
to the ASSOCHM analysis. More than 90 percent of shopping in India is still
done at unorganised one-off shops, adds the survey.
Sunil Kumar
Dhaiya, Co-Chairperson of ASSOCHAM Real Estate committee also specialising in
malls said that the real estate prices and construction costs are rising but
the retail business is not growing enough to absorb this. There are just not
enough footfalls.
Retail rents are
down 60-65% from peaks in 2010 and that's especially painful for developers,
when servicing loans is expensive at 12-13 percent interest," said Rawat.
Nearly 76% of the
shop owner’s said that increasing rents will not work because at the end of the
day it has to be affordable for retailers to do business and the fate of the
retail realty segment is intertwined with the retail industry.
The retail sector
is forecast to grow rapidly, but mall rentals and valuations are not rising in
of most markets, added Rawat.
According to the
ASSOCHAM estimates, rental values of malls remained stagnant across Delhi-NCR,
Ahemdabad, Mumbai, Pune, Chennai and Kolkata in the October-December 2012
quarter. However, certain micro markets in Ludhiana, Indore witnessed a growth
over the quarter in the range of 10-15%.
There are
approximately 1,200 shopping malls in India, the growth in the retail sector
has driven a mall building boom across the country, with the total number of
malls expected to increase to 1,500 by 2015 from 1,200 in 2012," added the
ASSOCHAM report.
The malaise of
high vacant malls can be seen in micro markets, such as Ghaziabad, Noida and
Gurgaon, where retail has not picked up. Clubbing this with the fact that
spending was really low, the demand for malls is likely to remain dull for the
coming next 2013, commented Rawat.
The survey adds
demand for mall space across most micro markets remained slow because of lack
of fresh supply, conservative approaches from retailers and overall slowdown in
consumer demand. Slowdown in retail demand in many micro markets has led to
rental values either remaining stable or correcting marginally in the range of
10 to 15% over the previous quarter.