Om Ahuja |
The
global capital and currency markets have been volatile for last the few
months, also triggering serious turbulence in the rupee. Current
account deficit and the fact that
foreign institutional investors are selling heavily on the Indian bond
market have been the key triggers for the rupee's repeated depreciation.
Factors such as negative export and industrial growth have triggered
even more uncertainty, specifically in the
currency trend pattern.
Will The Rupee Depreciate Further?
The Central Government has passed the Food Security Bill, which effectively increases subsidy for the nation. The fact that the
Lok Shabha elections will be held in in 2014
may be cause for more of such populist measures - nevertheless, the
country’s overall financial status does not look very exciting right
now. We may continue
to see volatility over the mid-term. Moves such as importing of fuel
would further hurt the economy.
NRIs And Real Estate
When it comes to Indian real estate, NRIs take
centre-stage when the rupee depreciates. The foreign
exchange that they tend to funnel into the sector increases
significantly when the rupee slides. In times of rupee volatility, banks
institutions and developers tend to announce
various schemes aimed at attracting NRIs. At the same time, NRIs are
also attracted to the higher interest rates on NRE (Non-Resident
External) and FCNR (Foreign Currency Non-Resident) deposits, as the
standalone rupee returns look quite lucrative to them.
Om Ahuja, CEO - Residential Services, Jones Lang LaSalle India, says, "Paradoxically,
data covering the last two decades indicates that NRIs have, in fact,
been losing out when they funneled their foreign exchange into such
accounts during such
volatile times. They have erroneously assumed that they are
capitalizing the rupee's volatility by locking into high yielding
deposits. However, this route has caused NRIs to miss out on overall
capital returns, because the perceived benefits of high interest
rates are actually eroded by the depreciating rupee."
It
is therefore wrong for NRIs to assume that they can garner good returns
by locking their foreign exchange into high-yielding deposit. The
reason why more and more NRIs are
choosing to invest in Indian real estate instead is because they are
now aware that this is the only route that assures them of optimal
benefits. As long as they maintain a broad investment horizon and have
chosen their properties well, the capital appreciation
on real estate translates into multi-fold that put all other asset
classes in the shade.
Traps On The Path For NRIs
NRIs
have always been soft targets for hyped-up real estate marketing by
developers. The objective of such marketing is to make NRIs believe that
the projects being offered
have been specially created for them - that are not standard offerings
on the market. Projects being marketed directly to NRIs are trumped up
as the best options that money can buy in India.
The
fact is that most of these projects are not professionally managed,
which has extremely negative implications for someone who is not
physically present in India. Lack of
proper project and facilities management results in accelerated
dilapidation of neglected units, and security also becomes an issue.
There are often no provisions for paying society dues from abroad.
Likewise, NRIs who have made a sentiment-driven property
purchase in their own Indian hometowns often overlook that paying dues
such as property tax online may not be an option in these locations. The
end result is that the property turns out to be a depreciating and
legally compromised money trap.
For
these and many other reasons, NRIs should not give in to sentiments or
manipulative marketing while making a decision on buying property in
India. Such decisions need to
be based on sound advice from professionals, with the objective of
reaping good returns on investment.
For
NRIs, the Indian real estate market definitely holds the highest
possible investment potential. However, no such investment should be
done on impulse, and it is at all
times advisable to maintain a healthy long-term investment horizon of
between 7-10 years.
No comments:
Post a Comment