While residential real estate in India is yet to find its
right growth momentum, its commercial counterpart has been witnessing a steady
growth for the last few years and is expected to have a healthy demand-supply
ratio over the period of 2013-2017.
According to a survey report, jointly released by global
real estate consultants, Cushman & Wakefield and Global Real Estate
Institute, the estimated demand for office space across top cities during the
period is expected to reach 132 million square feet (msf) with Bengaluru to
record the highest office space absorption of 32 msf in the next five years.
Though at the current level, office space absorption across
the country is expected to be about 22.5 msf in 2013, which is 26 per cent less
over previous year, experts believe that the momentum of absorption will pick
up by 2017 recording about 128 msf. The report also noted that due to current
economic slowdown many companies have deferred their leasing requirements.
The publication titled ‘Decoding Realty: Changing Dynamics
of Indian Real Estate’ has noted that next to Bengaluru, Mumbai will have its
net absorption to be at 24 msf followed by NCR (23 msf). Pune and Hyderabad are
expected to record absorption of about 14 msf of office space each while
Chennai office market will absorb 11 msf.
Ahmedabad and Kolkata have finished the survey with three
msf and seven msf of total absorption, respectively. The supply of new office
space for the same period is expected to be approximately 143 msf. in which, 90
msf is currently under various stages of construction that will be completed by
2015. Of the eight top cities, Delhi-NCR is projected have highest supply of 38
msf till 2017 in which 23 msf will get absorbed.
The report also noted that lowest office space supply would
come from Ahmadabad with three msf with more than 100 per cent absorption level
followed by Chennai and Pune with 6.5 msf and 12.5 msf, respectively.
The commercial office real estate sector has seen postponement
of considerable number of supply in the recent times due to delays in
regulatory clearances and lack in demand. Similar trend is expected to continue
in the next few years due to issues such as low demand from occupiers and
funding problems that developers have been facing.
Sanjay Dutt, Executive Managing Director, South Asia,
Cushman & Wakefield commented: “The office real estate market in India is
expected to remain attractive for occupiers with steady increase in absorption
after a trend of decline in 2013. With economy is expected to become stable in
the post election period from 2015, the absorption trend will pick pace
especially in established markets such as NCR, Bengaluru and Mumbai.
We expect
growth to set in from the second half of (June) 2014 when an increase in
leasing activities, on account of entry of new companies into the country,
relocation and consolidation activities and indeed expansion of existing
companies, is expected to continue.”
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